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Red37
651211.8
688816.0
368012.6
Blue20
900512.8
91985.6
96056.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4018060803720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6888
#10
16.00.2
10.410.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
red by 3.2
9005
#11
12.80.1
12.312.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Second
3680
#13
12.60.2
11.511.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 6.2
9605
#17
6.40.1
2.42.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Third
11.80.2
11.611.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.9
End2.7
red by 6.2
9198
#26
5.60.1
4.44.4
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed