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Red41
92986.5
688816.0
69328.5
Blue21
26409.9
33498.2
69087.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272710152025303540454121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6888
#10
16.01.1
11.812.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
red by 6.0
2640
#25
9.90.3
11.211.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Second
6932
#24
8.51.1
6.77.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End0.6
red by 0.3
3349
#20
8.20.3
6.46.2
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End1.0
Third
9298
#27
6.51.1
6.07.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 1.0
6908
#21
7.50.3
7.27.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed