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Red41
900512.8
12257.6
663918.6
Blue12
96077.2
97624.8
87577.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45170103040506070804112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.4
16.916.5
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End1.4
red by 10.7
8757
#22
7.90.4
5.65.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Second
9005
#11
12.80.4
12.812.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 5.5
9607
#16
7.20.4
8.47.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
1225
#14
7.60.4
7.47.0
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.6
red by 2.7
9762
#30
4.80.4
4.74.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed