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Red15
56794.6
651211.8
96056.4
Blue50
80307.9
319624.5
49358.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2444060801550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.80.6
13.112.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.9
End2.7
blue by 12.7
24.50.5
21.922.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End1.2
Second
9605
#17
6.40.6
3.32.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.0
blue by 2.5
4935
#15
8.90.5
8.59.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Third
5679
#29
4.60.6
7.56.9
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
blue by 3.4
8030
#12
7.90.8
6.87.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed