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Red65
482920.2
672920.9
949634.4
Blue31
429014.2
59196.6
153319.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88310204060801001201406531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.9
35.134.2
Auto15.4
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 15.1
1533
#18
19.30.4
17.817.5
Auto8.0
Teleop9.8
End1.4
Second
20.90.9
20.319.5
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 6.7
14.20.4
11.110.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Third
20.20.9
17.516.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
red by 13.6
5919
#28
6.60.4
5.65.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed