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Red47
69087.5
900512.8
319624.5
Blue37
80307.9
688816.0
97624.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50240204060804737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.3
22.422.8
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End1.2
red by 8.5
6888
#10
16.00.8
12.913.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Second
9005
#11
12.80.3
12.412.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 4.8
8030
#12
7.91.2
7.78.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Third
6908
#21
7.50.3
7.07.3
Auto4.4
Teleop2.8
End0.4
red by 2.7
9762
#30
4.80.8
4.35.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed