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Red20
26409.9
672920.9
12257.6
Blue28
49358.9
900512.8
651211.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433602060801002028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.2
20.519.3
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 8.2
9005
#11
12.80.4
12.712.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Second
2640
#25
9.91.2
9.98.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
blue by 1.8
11.80.4
11.411.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.9
End2.7
Third
1225
#14
7.61.2
7.66.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.6
blue by 1.3
4935
#15
8.90.4
9.69.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed