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Red9
80307.9
56794.6
92986.5
Blue70
689424.0
319624.5
33498.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206204080100970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8030
#12
7.91.2
8.87.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 16.5
24.50.6
22.823.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End1.2
Second
9298
#27
6.50.9
8.17.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 17.5
24.00.6
20.921.5
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Third
5679
#29
4.60.9
6.05.0
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
blue by 3.6
3349
#20
8.20.6
7.27.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed