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Red36
429014.2
69328.5
69087.5
Blue56
96077.2
350621.0
482920.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28510204060801003656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.20.2
12.212.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End1.3
blue by 6.7
21.00.7
20.821.5
Auto10.3
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
6932
#24
8.50.2
8.48.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 11.7
20.20.7
15.616.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Third
6908
#21
7.50.2
7.37.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.8
End0.4
red by 0.3
9607
#16
7.20.7
7.07.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed