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Red49
97624.8
663918.6
672920.9
Blue25
368012.6
56794.6
69087.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512204060801004925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.4
20.420.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 8.4
3680
#13
12.60.1
12.412.5
Auto5.7
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Second
18.60.4
18.118.5
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End1.4
red by 11.1
6908
#21
7.50.1
6.86.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.8
End0.4
Third
9762
#30
4.80.4
4.44.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.9
red by 0.3
5679
#29
4.60.1
4.54.6
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed