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Red30
12257.6
26409.9
91985.6
Blue60
689424.0
59196.6
96056.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213701030506070803060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#25
9.90.5
8.99.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
blue by 14.1
24.01.6
21.923.4
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Second
1225
#14
7.60.5
7.07.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.6
red by 1.0
5919
#28
6.61.6
4.96.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Third
9198
#26
5.60.5
5.15.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.9
blue by 0.8
9605
#17
6.41.6
4.86.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed