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Red10
90426.6
97074.5
97246.6
Blue18
33367.3
373713.9
55119.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28360102040506070801018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9042
#25
6.62.6
7.75.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 7.3
3737
#10
13.91.5
10.49.0
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
Second
9724
#29DQ
6.60.1
6.56.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End-0.0
blue by 2.8
5511
#26
9.41.5
11.49.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Third
9707
#24
4.54.5
11.16.6
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 2.8
3336
#28
7.31.5
9.48.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed