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Red44
453420.9
482820.5
38226.6
Blue54
873816.3
456117.0
319620.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3545102030405060704454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.5
12.713.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End1.0
red by 0.3
20.51.4
11.212.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.5
Second
20.50.5
12.012.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 3.5
17.01.4
16.317.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Third
3822
#22
6.60.5
7.98.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 9.7
8738
#13
16.31.4
12.013.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed