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Red12
872722.7
900813.6
33367.3
Blue37
373713.9
900510.7
820510.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363101020405060701237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.72.2
14.712.5
Auto10.3
Teleop10.8
End1.6
red by 8.7
3737
#10
13.90.8
9.78.9
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
Second
9008
#12
13.62.2
9.77.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
red by 2.9
9005
#19
10.70.8
10.69.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Third
3336
#28
7.32.2
7.75.5
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 3.1
8205
#11
10.40.8
8.77.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed