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Red6
55119.4
650012.9
49356.8
Blue53
482820.5
456117.0
672916.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2644010203050607080653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#14
12.92.2
9.57.3
Auto6.6
Teleop5.2
End1.2
blue by 7.6
20.51.7
13.515.3
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Second
5511
#26
9.42.2
7.45.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End0.5
blue by 7.6
17.01.7
14.616.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Third
4935
#15
6.82.2
8.96.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End0.8
blue by 9.4
16.31.7
9.211.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed