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Red42
38226.6
153313.1
456117.0
Blue28
900813.6
873816.3
900510.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4439102030506070804228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.3
17.817.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 0.7
8738
#13
16.31.1
18.417.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
1533
#16
13.10.3
13.212.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 0.4
9008
#12
13.61.1
8.97.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Third
3822
#22
6.60.3
8.68.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 4.0
9005
#19
10.71.1
8.77.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed