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Red35
264010.1
49356.8
744311.7
Blue46
319620.5
97074.5
33367.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26261520303540453546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7443
#18
11.70.1
11.511.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.3
blue by 8.8
20.51.2
13.114.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.5
Second
2640
#21
10.10.1
5.86.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End1.7
red by 2.8
3336
#28
7.31.2
5.26.3
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Third
4935
#15
6.80.1
6.46.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End0.8
red by 2.3
9707
#24
4.51.2
5.16.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned