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Red25
516010.6
33367.3
91983.4
Blue42
153313.1
689418.0
744311.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17440103040506070802542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.60.5
9.69.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.1
blue by 7.4
18.00.0
14.914.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Second
3336
#28
7.30.5
4.74.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 5.8
1533
#16
13.10.0
11.911.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
9198
#30
3.40.5
4.64.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.2
End0.9
blue by 8.3
7443
#18
11.70.0
10.110.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed