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Red24
373713.9
345913.5
59193.5
Blue43
873816.3
820510.4
264010.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243101020405060702443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3737
#10
13.90.2
11.511.6
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
blue by 2.4
8738
#13
16.31.4
13.815.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
3459
#20
13.50.2
7.98.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
red by 3.1
8205
#11
10.41.4
6.57.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
5919
#23
3.50.2
3.03.2
Auto0.8
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 6.7
2640
#21
10.11.4
7.28.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed