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Red78
872722.7
482820.5
90426.6
Blue20
38226.6
83048.8
55119.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions491904060801007820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.9
19.621.5
Auto10.3
Teleop10.8
End1.6
red by 13.3
5511
#26
9.40.1
6.56.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Second
20.51.9
15.217.1
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 11.7
8304
#17
8.80.1
5.95.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Third
9042
#25
6.61.9
5.87.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End0.0
Level
3822
#22
6.60.1
8.38.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed