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Red15
49356.8
456117.0
97074.5
Blue58
55183.5
672916.3
319620.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34380102030506070801558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.01.7
16.815.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 3.5
20.50.3
15.315.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.5
Second
4935
#15
6.81.7
8.36.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End0.8
blue by 9.4
16.30.3
14.014.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Third
9707
#24
4.51.7
6.04.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.5
red by 1.0
5518
#27
3.50.3
4.64.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned