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Red28
900813.6
55183.5
689418.0
Blue38
91983.4
264010.1
872722.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393710203050602838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.7
11.310.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 4.7
22.70.4
14.014.4
Auto10.3
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Second
9008
#12
13.60.7
11.310.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
red by 3.4
2640
#21
10.10.4
10.410.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Third
5518
#27
3.50.7
11.911.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Level
9198
#30
3.40.4
10.310.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed