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Red32
153313.1
90426.6
59193.5
Blue37
345913.5
873816.3
516010.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233801030506070803237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#16
13.10.6
11.911.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 3.2
8738
#13
16.30.4
15.215.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
9042
#25
6.60.6
7.77.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 6.8
3459
#20
13.50.4
8.18.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Third
5919
#23
3.50.6
3.22.6
Auto0.8
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 7.1
10.60.4
9.19.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed