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Red34
820510.4
319620.5
83048.8
Blue28
672916.3
33367.3
55183.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3425010203040506070803428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.5
15.616.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.5
red by 4.3
16.30.4
14.314.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Second
8205
#11
10.40.5
7.98.3
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 3.1
3336
#28
7.30.4
4.24.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Third
8304
#17
8.80.5
5.86.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End0.4
red by 5.3
5518
#27
3.50.4
4.95.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed