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Red35
516010.6
97246.6
456117.0
Blue48
264220.7
49356.8
900813.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324102060803548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.0
14.014.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 3.6
20.70.8
18.219.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End0.9
Second
10.60.0
9.59.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.1
blue by 3.0
9008
#12
13.61.1
9.610.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Third
9724
#29
6.60.0
6.16.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End-0.0
blue by 0.2
4935
#15
6.81.1
7.88.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed