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Red60
319620.5
264010.1
482820.5
Blue47
33367.3
650012.9
83048.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551704060801006047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.3
16.117.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.5
red by 7.6
6500
#14
12.91.3
9.210.5
Auto6.6
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Second
20.51.3
18.119.4
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 11.7
8304
#17
8.81.3
6.37.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Third
2640
#21
10.11.3
10.712.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End1.7
red by 2.8
3336
#28
7.31.3
4.76.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed