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Red68
456117.0
264220.7
33367.3
Blue21
672916.3
264010.1
38226.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43413050606821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.3
19.020.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End0.9
red by 4.4
16.31.5
16.314.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Second
17.01.5
14.015.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 6.9
2640
#21
10.11.5
12.010.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Third
3336
#28
7.31.5
6.07.5
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0
red by 0.7
3822
#22
6.61.5
9.37.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed