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Red54
345913.5
319620.5
55119.4
Blue64
153313.1
97246.6
453420.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374102060805464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.6
17.419.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.5
blue by 0.3
20.90.5
18.919.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End1.0
Second
3459
#20
13.51.6
10.111.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
red by 0.4
1533
#16
13.10.5
11.411.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
5511
#26
9.41.6
6.37.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End0.5
red by 2.8
9724
#29
6.60.5
6.16.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned