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Red64
900813.6
83048.8
482820.5
Blue48
650012.9
59193.5
872722.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42370102030506070806448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.3
19.420.8
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 2.2
22.70.3
20.420.7
Auto10.3
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Second
9008
#12
13.61.3
10.712.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
red by 0.6
6500
#14
12.90.3
10.510.8
Auto6.6
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Third
8304
#17
8.81.3
7.68.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End0.4
red by 5.3
5919
#23
3.50.3
3.63.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsEarned