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Red65
55119.4
672916.3
453420.9
Blue18
264010.1
33367.3
900510.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49290204060806518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.2
19.420.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End1.0
red by 10.2
9005
#19
10.70.8
11.010.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Second
16.31.2
14.816.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
red by 6.1
2640
#21
10.10.8
10.59.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Third
5511
#26
9.41.2
7.99.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End0.5
red by 2.1
3336
#28
7.30.8
7.56.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed