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Red32
83048.8
873816.3
97246.6
Blue57
872722.7
516010.6
820510.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334402060803257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8738
#13
16.30.1
15.715.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 6.4
22.71.5
20.722.2
Auto10.3
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Second
8304
#17
8.80.1
8.99.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End0.4
blue by 1.8
10.61.4
9.610.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.1
Third
9724
#29
6.60.1
6.66.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End-0.0
blue by 3.8
8205
#11
10.41.5
8.39.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed