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Red49
453420.9
373713.9
873816.3
Blue25
97074.5
38226.6
650012.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412602060804925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.7
13.213.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End1.0
red by 7.9
6500
#14
12.91.2
10.79.5
Auto6.6
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Second
8738
#13
16.30.7
13.314.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 9.7
3822
#22
6.61.2
8.47.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Third
3737
#10
13.90.7
9.09.7
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
red by 9.4
9707
#24
4.51.2
6.65.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed