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Red54
482820.5
153313.1
264220.7
Blue29
33367.3
689418.0
345913.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47260102030406070805429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.6
13.914.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End0.9
red by 2.7
18.00.2
10.610.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Second
20.51.0
12.513.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 7.0
3459
#20
13.50.2
7.47.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Third
1533
#16
13.11.0
13.714.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
red by 5.8
3336
#28
7.30.2
8.07.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed