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Red10
90426.6
83048.8
264010.1
Blue23
744311.7
900813.6
820510.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263201020405060701023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#21
10.12.0
10.78.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End1.7
blue by 3.4
9008
#12
13.60.8
10.69.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Second
8304
#17
8.82.0
8.16.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End0.4
blue by 3.0
7443
#18
11.70.8
8.27.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Third
9042
#25
6.62.0
5.23.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 3.8
8205
#11
10.40.8
9.58.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed