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Red62
49356.8
345913.5
482820.5
Blue55
873816.3
373713.9
33367.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46392060806255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.1
20.420.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 4.2
8738
#13
16.30.2
15.715.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
3459
#20
13.50.1
13.313.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 0.5
3737
#10
13.90.2
13.313.5
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
Third
4935
#15
6.80.1
6.76.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End0.8
blue by 0.5
3336
#28
7.30.2
6.76.9
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0