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Red61
872722.7
264010.1
319620.5
Blue48
820510.4
650012.9
900510.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613202040801006148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.2
22.222.4
Auto10.3
Teleop10.8
End1.6
red by 9.7
6500
#14
12.90.1
12.412.5
Auto6.6
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Second
20.50.2
20.120.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.5
red by 9.9
9005
#19
10.70.1
10.210.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Third
2640
#21
10.10.2
9.79.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End1.7
blue by 0.3
8205
#11
10.40.1
9.810.0
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.5