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Red65
38226.6
689418.0
516010.6
Blue84
453420.9
672916.3
55119.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385202060801006584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.0
18.318.3
Auto7.3
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 2.9
20.90.1
20.620.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End1.0
Second
10.60.0
10.910.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.1
blue by 5.7
16.30.1
16.016.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Third
3822
#22
6.60.0
7.06.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 2.8
5511
#26
9.40.1
9.19.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End0.5