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Red44
456117.0
264220.7
55183.5
Blue52
744311.7
900813.6
153313.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4740102030607080904452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.1
20.820.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End0.9
red by 7.1
9008
#12
13.60.1
13.013.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Second
17.00.1
17.217.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 3.9
1533
#16
13.10.1
12.512.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
5518
#27
3.50.1
3.43.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 8.3
7443
#18
11.70.1
11.211.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.3