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Red53
153313.1
264220.7
373713.9
Blue33
59193.5
482820.5
55183.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53280204060801005333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.5
20.320.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End0.9
red by 0.2
20.50.4
20.820.4
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Second
3737
#10
13.90.7
12.613.3
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
red by 10.5
5518
#27
3.50.4
3.83.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Third
1533
#16
13.10.7
11.912.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
red by 9.7
5919
#23
3.50.4
3.93.5
Auto0.8
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned