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Red44
153313.1
900813.6
744311.7
Blue57
453420.9
672916.3
55119.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39522060801004457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#12
13.60.1
13.213.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 7.3
20.90.2
20.620.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End1.0
Second
1533
#16
13.10.1
12.712.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 3.1
16.30.2
16.016.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Third
7443
#18
11.70.1
11.311.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.3
red by 2.3
5511
#26
9.40.2
9.29.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End0.5