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Red54
319620.5
264010.1
872722.7
Blue52
482820.5
345913.5
49356.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6043020801005452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.0
22.422.4
Auto10.3
Teleop10.8
End1.6
red by 2.2
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Second
20.50.0
20.320.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.5
red by 7.0
3459
#20
13.50.0
13.413.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Third
2640
#21
10.10.0
9.99.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End1.7
red by 3.3
4935
#15
6.80.0
6.86.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End0.8