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Red55
153313.1
900813.6
744311.7
Blue38
873816.3
373713.9
33367.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414125303545505560655538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#12
13.60.3
13.113.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 2.7
8738
#13
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
1533
#16
13.10.3
12.612.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 0.8
3737
#10
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
Third
7443
#18
11.70.3
11.311.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.3
red by 4.4
3336
#28
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.0