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Red47
789015.6
55187.7
99941.8
Blue28
672918.9
99922.3
51907.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264002060801004728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.1
14.514.4
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 3.3
18.90.8
19.819.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
5518
#21
7.70.1
8.88.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End1.6
red by 0.6
5190
#22
7.10.8
9.99.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Third
9994
#14
1.80.2
5.04.9
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.2
blue by 0.5
9992
#23
2.31.3
3.11.8
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed