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Red83
551110.4
650021.5
99967.2
Blue16
744316.1
516013.7
482912.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3965020801001201401608316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.9
17.519.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.3
End2.2
red by 5.4
16.12.6
17.815.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Second
5511
#15
10.41.9
10.912.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End0.6
blue by 3.3
5160
#18
13.72.6
18.916.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
7.23.2
4.17.3
Auto5.3
Teleop1.0
End0.7
blue by 5.6
4829
#20
12.82.6
19.016.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed