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Red41
789015.6
999010.6
90424.3
Blue10
55187.7
56078.6
776324.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126202040801001201401604110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.61.3
12.013.3
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 9.0
24.62.6
28.826.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.2
End0.2
Second
10.62.2
6.18.3
Auto6.5
Teleop3.8
End0.0
red by 2.0
5607
#17
8.62.6
11.48.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Third
9042
#12
4.31.3
1.52.8
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.7
blue by 3.4
5518
#21
7.72.6
8.96.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
1%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed