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Red47
99941.8
69084.4
672918.9
Blue25
38227.4
33497.7
551110.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2829101520253540454725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.1
18.919.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End0.9
red by 8.5
5511
#15DQ
10.40.1
12.312.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Second
6908
#24
4.40.1
5.35.4
Auto3.7
Teleop0.2
End0.6
blue by 3.2
3349
#16
7.70.1
7.57.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
Third
9994
#14
1.80.2
4.74.9
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.2
blue by 5.7
3822
#19
7.40.1
6.06.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed