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Red16
99922.3
48163.5
482912.8
Blue50
650021.5
373718.7
516013.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196804060801001201401650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#20
12.81.0
16.315.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End0.6
blue by 8.7
21.50.5
19.318.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.3
End2.2
Second
4816
#13
3.51.0
3.52.5
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 15.3
18.70.5
20.720.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Third
9992
#23
2.31.6
0.9-0.7
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.8
blue by 11.5
5160
#18
13.70.5
16.115.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed