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Red24
873823.0
51907.1
456118.8
Blue117
99967.2
744316.1
453418.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5749010020030040024117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.02.5
21.719.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 4.5
4534
#10
18.60.2
18.618.4
Auto8.5
Teleop9.1
End0.9
Second
4561
#11
18.82.5
20.017.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.0
End1.2
red by 2.6
16.10.2
15.315.1
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Third
5190
#22
7.12.5
9.36.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End0.5
blue by 0.1
7.20.3
7.16.8
Auto5.3
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed