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Red42
456118.8
744316.1
789015.6
Blue10
99967.2
373718.7
99922.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543401001504210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#11
18.80.3
17.517.3
Auto6.6
Teleop11.0
End1.2
Level
18.71.1
20.119.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Second
16.10.3
15.114.9
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End2.6
red by 8.9
7.21.8
6.85.0
Auto5.3
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Third
15.60.3
13.313.0
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.4
red by 13.3
9992
#23
2.31.8
-0.7-2.5
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed