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Red29
69084.4
482912.8
776324.6
Blue37
56078.6
672918.9
48163.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553102040801001201401602937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.5
26.224.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.2
End0.2
red by 5.7
18.90.3
18.618.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
4829
#20
12.81.5
14.813.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End0.6
red by 4.3
5607
#17
8.60.3
8.89.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Third
6908
#24
4.41.5
6.04.5
Auto3.7
Teleop0.2
End0.6
red by 1.0
4816
#13
3.50.3
3.13.4
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed